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Source: Small Business
Management
Introduction
Profit planning,
increasing your business profit, is simply the development of your
operating plan for the coming period. Your plan is summarized in the form of an income
statement that serves as your sales and profit objective and your budget for cost.
How Is It Used?
Profit planning
is used in the following ways:
- Evaluating operations. Each time you prepare an income statement, actual sales
and costs are compared with those you projected in your original profit plan. This permits
detection of areas of unsatisfactory performance so that corrective action can be taken.
- Determining the need for additional resources such as facilities or personnel.
For example, the profit plan may show that a sharp increase in expected sales will
overload the company's billing personnel. A decision can then be made to add additional
invoicing personnel, to retain an EDP service, or to pursue some other alternative.
- Planning purchasing requirements. The volume of expected sales may be more than
the business' usual suppliers can handle or expected sales may be sufficient to permit
taking advantage of quantity discounts. In either case, advance knowledge of purchasing
requirements will permit taking advantage of cost savings and ensure that purchased goods
are readily available when needed.
- Anticipating any additional financing needs. With planning, the search for needed
funds can begin as early as possible. In this way, financial crises are avoided and
financing can be arranged on more favorable terms.
Advantages of Profit Planning
Profit planning offers many advantages to your business. The modest investment in time
required to develop and implement the plan will pay liberal dividends later. Among the
benefits that your business can enjoy from profit planning are the following:
- Performance evaluation. The profit plan provides a continuing standard against
which sales performance and cost control can quickly be evaluated.
- Awareness of responsibilities. With the profit plan, personnel are readily aware
of their responsibilities for meeting sales objectives, controlling costs, and the like.
- Cost consciousness. Since cost excesses can quickly be identified and planned,
expenditures can be compared with budgets even before they are incurred, cost
consciousness is increased, reducing unnecessary costs and overspending.
- Disciplined approach to problem-solving. The profit plan permits early detection
of potential problems so that their nature and extent are known. With this information,
alternate corrective actions can be more easily and accurately evaluated.
- Thinking about the future. Too often, small businesses neglect to plan ahead:
thinking about where they are today, where they will be next year, or the year after. As a
result, opportunities are overlooked and crises occur that could have been avoided.
Development of the profit plan requires thinking about the future so that many problems
can be avoided before they arise.
- Financial planning. The profit plan serves as a basis for financial planning.
With the information developed from the profit plan, you can anticipate the need for
increased investment in receivables, inventory, or facilities as well as any need for
additional capital.
- Confidence of lenders and investors. A realistic profit plan, supported by a
description of specific steps proposed to achieve sales and profit objectives, will
inspire the confidence of potential lenders and investors. This confidence will not only
influence their judgment of you as a business manager, but also the prospects of your
business' success and its worthiness for a loan or an investment.
Limitations of Profit Planning
Profit plans are based upon estimates. Inevitably, many con?ditions you
expected when the plan was prepared will change. Crystal balls are often cloudy. The
further down the road one attempts to forecast, the cloudier they become. In a year, any
number of factors can change, many of them beyond the con?trol of the company. Customers'
economic fortunes may decline, suppliers' prices may increase, or suppliers' inability to
deliver may disrupt your plan.
The profit plan requires the support of all responsible par?ties. Sales quotas must be
agreed upon with those responsible for meeting them. Expense budgets must be agreed upon
with the people who must live with them. Without mutual agreement on objectives and
budgets, they will quickly be ignored and serve no useful purpose.
Finally, profit plans must be changed from time to time to meet changing conditions.
There is no point in trying to operate a business according to a plan that is no longer
realistic because conditions have changed.
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Advantages vs. Disadvantages
Despite the limitations of profit planning, the advantages far outweigh the
disadvantages. A realistic plan, established yearly and reevaluated as changing conditions
require will provide performance guidelines that will help you control every aspect of
your business with a minimum of analysis and digging for financial facts.
Guide Objectives
In this guide, you will learn how to do the following:
- Develop a forecast for sales and gross profit, considering all of the various internal
and external factors that are relevant to the forecast.
- Develop budgets for operating expenses to quickly detect excessive expenses so that
corrective action can be taken and purchasing commitments held within budgetary limits.
- Estimate net profit so that you can determine whether or not the projected return on
your investment is satisfactory. You will also be able to determine how much cash will be
generated from operations either for reinvestment in the business or to compensate owners
for their investment.
Forecasting Sales And Gross Profit
Development of your profit plan should usually begin with
a forecast of your expected sales and gross profit for the coming year. The sales and
gross profit must be considered together since they are so closely interrelated. Gross
profit percentages are determined by pricing policy, which also affects expected sales
volume. A decision to increase the expected gross profit percentage will usually tend to
decrease expected sales, while reducing the expected gross profit per?centage should
increase sales.
A second major reason for beginning the profit plan with a sales forecast is that the
volume of expected sales often determines a number of other factors such as the following:
- Expected changes in variable expenses, those expenses that tend to change in direct
proportion to changes in sales. These could include expenses such as sales commissions or
delivery costs.
- The impact of the added sales volume on the various fixed costs of operating your
business. These costs, by definition, do not tend to vary in direct proportion to changes
in sales volume. However, substantial increases in sales over an extended period can force
an increase in many fixed expenses. For example, a sales increase realized through the
addition of many new accounts could affect bookkeeping and credit costs.
- The ability of present resources such as storage space, display area, delivery
capability, or supervisory personnel to accommodate the added volume.
- The need for funds to invest in increased inventory or accounts receivable to
accommodate sales increases.
- Cash generated from operations to meet current operating needs as well as expansion
requirements, debt repayments, and owners' compensation.
Realism
A realistic sales forecast must rely on careful analysis of market potential and the
ability of your business to capture its share of this potential. The forecast should not
be based upon "what you would like to do" or "what you hope to do." It
must be "what you can do" and "what you will do."
Any forecast of a sales increase must be supported by realistic expectations for
stronger market demand and specific marketing steps that will be taken to capture a share
of this market.
The key to successful forecasting is realism. You only fool yourself if you reject
reality in forecasting. Such fore?casts serve neither as a realistic planning basis nor
as a reliable means of performance evaluation.
Your forecast can be the basis for important decisions such as decisions
to add personnel, lease additional facilities, or increase promotional costs. If these
decisions are based upon unrealistic sales expectations, any money expended on them will
be wasted.
Forecasts are often presented to lenders or potential investors to guide them in their
decisions. If they lack confidence in your forecast, they will certainly be reluctant to
commit their funds to your business.
Every forecast should be supported by carefully considered, specific action plans. It
is inadequate to forecast a sales increase of 20% or 30% without plans for specific
actions to achieve the increase. These actions could include the intro?duction of new
products, opening of new branches, market expansion, commitments from new customers,
increased require?ments from existing customers, additional salesmen, or an intensified
promotional effort to attract new customers.
Analyzing Current Sales and Gross Profit
Your sales and gross profit forecast begins with analysis of current performance. Sales
are usually divided into various categories. Each category is examined individually to
deter?mine expected sales for the coming year.
Selecting Sales Categories
The selection of categories will depend upon the nature of your business. For example,
a food broker selling to a large number of relatively small accounts might be interested
pri?marily in analyzing sales by product. The owner of a single retail store might choose
to analyze sales by selling depart?ment, while the owner of a retail chain would probably
be interested in analyzing sales by outlet. An insurance broker with several agents might
categorize sales by agent. An individual wholesaler might consider sales by sales
territory.
Factors Affecting Sales
After categories have been selected and current sales divided among them, the various
factors which can affect sales in each category must be considered. These factors could be
either internal or external. Internal factors are those that you can influence. External
factors are those that affect the market served by your business, but are generally beyond
your control.
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Internal Factors
The following are typical internal factors that could influence your sales forecast:
- Promotional plans
- Expansion plans
- Capacity restrictions
- New product introductions
- Product cancellations
- Sales force changes
- Pricing policy
- Profit expectations
- Market expansion to new customers or territories
External Factors
Among the external factors that must be considered are the following:
- Business trends
- Government policies
- Inflation
- Changes in population characteristics
- Economic fortunes of customers
- Changes in buying habits
- Competitive pressures
Analyzing Gross Profit Percentages
It is often useful to begin a sales forecast with an examina?tion of your current
gross profit percentage (markup percentage or gross profit percentage). The gross profit
percentage is usually the best indicator of pricing policy which can have significant
impact on sales volume. To some extent, the gross profit percentage will also reflect the
buying economies of your business. However, the range over which costs of pur?chased
goods will vary is not ordinarily as wide as the possible range of prices you may seek for
your products.
Three Bases of Comparison
Examination of current gross profit percentages can indicate the need for pricing
policy revisions to meet competition or closer attention to purchasing costs in order to
provide extra gross profit without increasing prices.
The evaluation of gross profit percentages requires comparison of current performance
with three bases:
- Objectives originally set for the current year, if available
- Other businesses in the same industry
- Results of prior years
Comparison with objectives permits you to determine how well you have done compared
with your original expectations. Assuming that these objectives were realistic, this is
often the best single performance indicator. Deviations from objectives can quickly be
identified and explored in detail to determine the cause of the deviation.
Comparison with industry averages permits identification of areas where the experience
of similar businesses indicates room for improvement in your own.
Unfortunately, businesses are often too quick to dismiss the applicability of industry
averages to their own operation, claiming that "Our circumstances are
different." Such an attitude is self-defeating. It prevents you from taking advantage
of the experience of others to improve your own sales and profit. A far more productive
attitude is to say, "If everybody else can realize a gross profit of x percent, then
we should be able to." Until specific circumstances are identified that make it
impossible for your business to be consistent with industry averages, every attempt should
be made to bring performance in line with the experience of others.
Comparison of current operations with performance in prior periods permits detection of
trends so that progress, or the lack of it, can be identified. It also permits evaluation
in light of those specific considerations that may be unique to your business. For
example, if your gross profit as a per?centage of sales is low compared with the
industry, analysis of your historic performance may reveal the cause of this apparent
deficiency such as reliance upon a major customer where severe competition restricts the
available gross profit percentage.
Evaluating Gross Profit Percentages
Refer to the table below, which is an analysis of gross profit percentages realized by
Western Appliances in the year XXX2. Percentages are shown for cost of sales, gross
profit, total expenses, and profit before taxes as follows:
- XXX2 actual
- XXX1 actual
- Industry average
- XXX2 objective
Each basis of comparison provides a different viewpoint of the company's
operations.
WESTERN APPLIANCES, INC. Profit Percentage Analysis
XXX2 actual XXX1 actual Industry average XXX2 Objective
Sales 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Cost of Sales 80.0% 80.5% 81.8% 80.7%
______ ______ ______ ______
Gross Profit 20.0% 19.5% 18.2% 19.3%
Total Expenses 17.9% 18.6% 14.7% 17.2%
______ ______ ______ ______
Profit Before Taxes 2.1% 0.9% 3.5% 2.1%
In XXX2, Western Appliances' gross profit was 20.0% of sales. This represented
an improvement over their XXX1 performance of 19.5%, the industry average of 18.2%, and
their XXX2 objective of 19.3%. By any of these measures, this should be considered
favorable. Apparently, they were able to control their pur?chasing costs and realize
adequate prices in order to improve upon their own previous gross profit performance as
well as the industry average.
Conflicts
Sometimes financial analysis can lead to conflicting conclu?sions derived from
identical facts. Comparing Western Appliances' 20.0% gross profit with the 18.2% industry
average could raise questions. If Western Appliances were more com?petitive in its
pricing, could it capture a larger market share? A reasonable answer to this question
would depend upon thorough knowledge of their operations and the experience of their sales
personnel in dealing with specific customers. Perhaps their pricing is fully competitive
in their area or local retailers are willing to pay slightly more because of the superior
services they offer. If this is the case, price cutting might only trim profit margins
with no realistic hope of additional sales volume to offset the effects of the price
reduction.
On the other hand, if their gross profit percentage is below that of the industry, a
number of other questions would be raised, such as the following:
- Are they purchasing at prices that are too high to provide an adequate gross profit?
- Is their pricing structure so low that adequate gross profit margins cannot be attained?
- Are salesmen too quick to cut prices?
- Is their marketing effort too heavily concentrated in those product lines that offer a
relatively low gross profit percentage?
- Is their marketing effort directed toward those high-volume accounts that are so highly
competitive that gross profit must be trimmed to an unrealistically low level?
Analysis of Sales Performance
The table shown below, analyzes the XXX2 sales of Western Appliances by
account. Actual sales, gross profit, and the gross profit percentage are shown
individually for major accounts and as a group for smaller accounts. These are reported on
the bottom line and represent 50 small retailers served by Western Appliances.
WESTERN APPLIANCES, INC.
Sales Forecast, xxx3
XXX2 Actual XXX3 Forecast
Account Sales Gross Profit % Sales Gross Profit %
Giant Discount $ 300,000 $45,000 15.0 $323,500 $45,300 14.0
Appliance Mart 150,000 27,000 18.0 174,000 31,300 18.0
TV Center 120,000 21,600 18.0 159,000 23,900 15.0
Whitney Brothers 80,000 15,200 19.0 100,000 20,000 20.0
Packer Electronics 70,000 14,000 20.0 40,400 8,100 20.0
Consumers Outlet 40,000 7,200 18.0 50,000 9,000 18.0
Other (50stores) 440,000 110,000 25.0 553,100 142,400 25.7
__________ ________ _____ __________ ________ _____
Total $1,200,000 $240,000 20.0 $1,400,000 $280,000 20.0
Let us consider Appliance Mart, one of the major accounts shown.
In XXX2, Western Appliances' sales to Appliance Mart were $150,000. These sales
generated gross profit of $27,000, or 18.% of sales.
In XXX3, Western Appliances expects a general price increase of 5% with no change in
the discount structure available to them from their suppliers.
Appliance Mart's business in XXX3 is expected to be affected only by general economic
conditions such as the 5% price in?crease and an expected 10% industry growth in consumer
demand for electrical appliances.
Appliance Mart operates a chain of discount stores in an economi?cally stable suburban
area. For XXX3, they have no plans to add or eliminate any stores. There are no changes
expected in Western Appliances' relationship with them that would materially affect sales.
Therefore, the only factors affecting the sales forecast for Appliance Mart would be
the planned 5% price increase and the general 10% increase in demand. Sales to Appliance
Mart in XXX3 could then be forecast as follows:
XXX2 Sales $150,000
+ 5% Price Increase 7,500
_______
= Subtotal 157,50
+ 10% Demand Increase 15,750
_______
= Total $173,250
This amount, $173,250, has been rounded to $174,000 and entered in the XXX3 sales
forecast column.
Since there is no planned change in Western Appliances' dis?count structure from its
suppliers, nor is there any indication that competition for Appliance Mart's business will
be any more or less severe, Western Appliances probably should assume that gross profit as
a percentage of these sales will remain at 18.0%, the XXX2 level. The gross profit
expected on these sales could then be calculated as follows:
$174,000 x 0.180 = $31,320
This amount has been rounded to $31,300 and entered in the gross profit forecast
column.
Subdividing Sales Categories
It is often useful to subdivide sales into more detailed classifications
in order to develop a more precise forecast such as potential sales to a single customer.
As an example, refer to the table below, Western Appliances' sales summary by product line
to Giant Discount, its major customer in XXX2. Sales, gross profit, and the gross profit
percentage are shown by product line so that each line may be considered separately to
determine a realistic forecast for XXX3.
WESTERN APPLIANCES, INC.
Customer Sales Analysis - Giant Discount
XXX2 Actual XXX3 Forecast
Product line Sales Gross profit % Sales Gross profit %
Television $160,000 $16,000 10.0 $184,800 $18,500 10.0%
Automotive radios 20,000 6,000 30.0 -- -- --
Table radios 30,000 6,000 20.0 34,700 6,900 20.0
Stereo 40,000 7,000 18.0 46,200 8,300 18.0
Small appliances 50,000 10,000 20.0 57,800 11,600 20.0
______ ______ _____ _______ _______ ______
Total $300,000 $45,000 15.0% $323,500 $45,300 14.0
Development of the XXX3 forecast will assume that Giant Dis?count's various stores are
located in areas that are represen?tative of the general economy and therefore will
reflect the industry's expected sales growth of 10%; the price increase of 5% will have no
significant effect on Giant Discount's sales; and competition among appliance wholesalers
for Giant Dis?count's business will prevent Western Appliances from increas?ing its
gross profit percentage in any product line.
The first product line on the table above, television sales, could then be forecast as
follows:
XXX2 Sales $160,000
+ 5% Price Increase 8,000
_______
= Subtotal $168,000
+ 10% Demand Increase 16,800
________
= Total $184,800
Assuming that the gross profit percentage of 10.0% on television sales is maintained in
XXX3, the forecast for gross profit can then be calculated as follows:
$184,800 x 0.100 = $18,480, rounded to $18,500
Giant Discount plans to discontinue its sales of automotive radios in XXX3. Therefore,
sales, gross profit, and the gross profit percentage for all are shown as zero on the
table above.
Sales, gross profit, and gross profit percentages have all been determined for the
remaining product lines and shown on the XXX3 forecast on the table above. You will note
that the gross profit as a percentage of total sales in the XXX3 forecast, 14.0%, is well
below the XXX2 experience of 15.0% even though the gross profit on each product line
remains the same. This is due to the elimination of the highly profitable automotive radio
line which produced a 30% gross profit but is being discontinued from Giant Discount's
stores. In fact, the net effect of this discontinuation is that Western Appliances will
realize addi?tional gross profit of less than $1,000 on sales to Giant Discount despite a
sales increase of almost $24,000. This important fact probably would not have been
revealed if sales to Giant Discount had not been subdivided into individual product lines
for analysis.
This negligible increase in gross profit will probably be more than offset by normal
cost increases in various expense accounts required to handle Giant Discount's business in
XXX3, At this point, the owners of Western Appliances would be well advised to take a hard
look at their pricing strategy to see if more favorable prices can be realized in any
product line without any significant sales loss so that the gross profit earned from this,
its largest account, can be improved.
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Developing Expense Budgets
After a realistic forecast has been developed for sales
and gross profit, expenses for the coming year must be estimated in order to establish
expense budgets and to determine ex?pected operating profit.
Comparisons
As with the forecast of sales and gross profit, expense estimating begins with a review
of the current year's per?formance based upon comparison with the following indicators:
- Performance in prior periods
- Industry averages
- Objectives established for the current year
For purposes of comparison, it is often useful to express each expense as a percentage
of total sales.
Comparing Variable Expenses
The use of percentages as a basis of comparison and forecast?ing is particularly
applicable when analyzing variable expenses. Variable expenses are those that tend to
change as a result of changes in sales volume. For example, if salesmen's commissions are
based upon a percentage of sales, the total dollar amount of commissions earned would
increase as sales increase. If sales in a month were 20% higher than expected, commissions
paid would also increase 20% as a direct result of the higher sales volume.
Comparing Fixed Expenses
On the other hand, fixed expenses are not directly affected by short-term variations in
sales volume. Therefore, a 20% increase in the dollar amount of any fixed expense such as
salaries or rent would normally be considered unacceptable even if sales for the period
increased by 20%. When com?paring fixed expense levels with objectives or from one period
to another, it is more realistic to make comparisons in absolute dollars rather than in
percentages.
A business has sales and rent expense in January, February, and March as
follows: Rent expense
Month Sales $ % Sales
January $100,000 1,000 1.00
February 80,000 1,000 1.25
March 125,000 1,000 0.80
As a percentage of sales, rent expense was high in February and low in March. However,
this does not indicate that con?trol of this expense was more or less effective in either
month. It simply reflects the changes in sales volume. In all three cases, the actual rent
expense was 1,000.
Long-Range Considerations
Despite the shortcomings of using percentages to evaluate fixed expense control within
the business from month to month, they can be useful when making long-term comparisons or
com?parisons with industry averages. These averages normally express expenses as
percentages of sales, regardless of whether they are fixed or variable.
For example, assume that a business found that its rent expense as a percentage of
sales was 2% compared with an industry average of 1%. This differential would have to be
offset by better than average performance in gross profit or other expense classifications
if the business expects to realize net profit equal to its industry average. Perhaps the
reason for the high percentage is due to an exorbitant rental expense, or it may be caused
by inadequate sales. In either case, certain questions must be answered. These could
include the following:
- Are we renting more space than we need?
- Is our space too expensive for our requirements?
- Could a less elaborate facility be located that would be adequate for our needs?
- Would a less costly location be sufficient?
- Is our space utilization inefficient?
- Will expected sales increases be handled without renting additional space? Will this
bring our rent expense per?centage in line with the industry?
- Can the terms of our lease be re-negotiated?
Similarly, when comparing long-term performance with prior periods, the use of fixed
expense percentages can be helpful. For example, if you found that warehouse salaries
jumped from 2% of sales to 4%, a number of important questions would be raised. These
could include the following:
- Are we now using too many warehouse personnel?
- Are warehouse personnel less efficient?
- Has ineffectiveness crept into the warehouse layout or operating procedure?
- Are warehouse workers overpaid?
- Is warehouse supervision inadequate?
Identifying Excessive Expenses
At Western Appliances, no objectives were available for XXX2 performance. Therefore,
excessive expenses can be identified only by comparison with XXX1 results, and, in some
cases, with industry averages.
Industry Average Comparisons
Comparisons with industry averages are not available in all of Western Appliances'
expense accounts. However, this can be determined by examining those accounts on the
company's income statement that can be combined for comparison with industry averages. For
example, the industry averages show that office salaries for the industry were 4.9% of
sales. Examining the operating expense accounts at Western Appliances, the accounts that
would appear to fall into this classification are the following:
- Salary - Office Manager 1.4%
- Salaries - Clerical 1.0%
- Salaries - Warehouse 1.8%
The total of these expenses, 4.2% of sales, compares favorably with the industry
average of 4.9%.
Comparison with Previous Periods
The information permits comparison of all expenses in XXX2 with XXX1 results.
The only variable expense at Western Appliances in XXX2 is salesmen's commissions.
These represented 2.0% of sales in both XXX1 and XXX2. Therefore, they would not appear to
be excessive.
In the fixed expense accounts, sharp increases could be noted in the following accounts
and would warrant review and pos?sible corrective action.
Account XXX2 XXX1
Salary - Owner $24,000 $20,000
Salaries - Warehouse 22,000 18,000
Salaries - Clerical 12,000 10,000
Employee Benefits 8,000 6,000
Utilities 4,000 3,000
Telephone 4,000 2,000
Supplies 2,000 1,000
Travel and Entertainment 13,000 10,000
Comparing Western Appliances' XXX2 fixed expenses with its experience in XXX1,
significant increases are noted in almost every account. Some of these increases should be
regarded with more concern than others and therefore given prompt attention. Reasons for
the increases and possible corrective action must be determined.
Some increases were probably unavoidable, having been dictated by contract, legal
requirements, or price increases beyond the company's control. Others could probably be
reduced with closer control. For example, travel and entertainment expense jumped from
$10,000 to $13,000, an increase of $3,000. This sharp increase should indicate that a
closer look at all travel and entertainment expenditures is in order to determine whether
or not all were necessary. Could some have been avoided by restricting salesmen's expense
accounts? Could more economical means of travel have been used? Could the company
eliminate unnecessary trips that resulted in costs far beyond any real value to the
business?
Supplies expense doubled from $1,000 to $2,000 although the volume of business
increased by only about 10%. This sales increase would not seem to indicate a need for
such a sharp increase in supplies usage. Such an expense could be con?trolled by closer
attention to purchasing procedures and supplies issued to employees, use of less expensive
supplies where possible, and so on.
Determining Expense Budgets
Budgets for each expense must be established, considering both external and internal
factors, as in sales forecasting.
From the standpoint of expense budgeting, the following would be considered internal
factors:
- Corrective actions planned to bring excessive expenses in line.
- Policy changes such as new commission plans.
- Commitments such as equipment purchases, leases on new facilities, or professional
service contracts.
- Planned salary increases.
- Planned changes in benefit programs.
- Additional personnel.
- Promotional plans.
- External factors could include the following:
- Inflation and its effect on price increases from suppliers.
- Tax rate increases including payroll taxes, local property taxes, inventory taxes, and
so on.
- Utility rate increases.
Additionally, the interrelated effects of expense increases must be considered. For
example, payroll increases will increase payroll taxes and, possibly, employee benefits.
Rent on larger facilities can also involve additional utilities expense.
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Initial Forecast
The table below shows Western Appliances' initial forecast for XXX3 operating expenses.
The owner's salary will be increased from $24,000 to $26,000.
The office manager's salary will be increased from $17,000 to $18,000.
Salesmen's salaries will remain unchanged.
The expected sales increase will cause salesmen's commissions, 2% of sales, to increase
from $24,000 to $28,000.
Warehouse salaries will be increased about 5% from $22,000 to $23,000.
Clerical salaries will be increased about 17% from $12,000 to $14,000.
Payroll taxes, approximately 8% of total compensation, will increase to $10,000 as a
result of the compensation increases
Employee benefits expense is expected to increase from the present $8,000 to $9,000.
This increase is dictated by increased premium costs for employees' health insurance.
Rent expense will increase from $9,000 to $10,000 due to a tax escalator clause in the
lease agreement and a proposed municipal tax increase.
Utilities expense is expected to remain unchanged at $4,000.
Telephone expense is expected to be reduced from $4,000 to $3,000 because of tighter
controls introduced by management in response to the sharp increase in XXX2.
New controls on supplies should hold this expense at $2,000 despite price increases.
To increase sales, the advertising and promotion budget will be increased from $13,000
to $15,000, a 20% increase.
Through tighter control, the owner expects to restrict travel and entertainment expense
to the XXX2 level of $13,000 despite the general increase in travel-related costs.
Freight expense will increase from $16,000 to $18,000 reflecting the increased sales
volume and higher freight tariffs.
Professional fees are expected to remain at $5,000.
Depreciation expense will increase from $6,000 to $8,000 due to the addition of new
receiving equipment being purchased at a cost of $10,000 and depreciated over 5 years.
Total operating expenses will increase from $200,000 to $218,000. Profit
before interest and taxes will be $62,000, an increase from $40,000 in XXX2.
WESTERN APPLIANCES, INC.
Sales And Expense Forecast
January 1 To December 31, XXX3
Revised
XXX2 XXX2 XXX1 XXX1 Industry XXX3
Actual (% sales) Actual (% sales) (% Sales) Forecast
Sales $1,200,000 100.0% $1,080,000 100.0% 100.00% 1,400,000
Cost of Sales 960,000 80.0% 880,000 81.5 81.8 1,120,000
________ _______ _______ _______ _______ _________
Gross Profit $240,000 20.0% $200,000 18.5% 18.2% 280,000
Operating Expenses:
Salary-Owner $ 24,000 2.0% $ 20,000 1.9% 1.7 26,000
Salary-Office Manager 17,000 1.4 16,000 1.5 18,000
Salaries-Salesmen 12,000 1.0 11,000 1.0 12,000
Commissions-Salesmen 24,000 2.0 22,000 2.0 28,000
Salaries-Warehouse 22,000 1.8 18,000 1.7 23,000
Salaries-Clerical 12,000 1.0 10,000 0.9 14,000
Payroll Taxes 9,000 0.8 8,000 0.7 10,000
Employee Benefits 8,000 0.7 6,000 0.6 9,000
Rent 9,000 0.8 9,000 0.8 0.7 10,000
Utilities 4,000 0.3 3,000 0.3 4,000
Telephone 4,000 0.3 2,000 0.2 3,000
Supplies 2,000 0.2 1,000 0.1 2,000
Advertising and Promotion 13,000 1.1 12,000 1.1 15,000
Travel and Entertainment 13,000 1.1 10,000 0.9 13,000
Freight 16,000 1.3 16,000 1.5 18,000
Professional Fees 5,000 0.4 4,000 0.4 5,000
Depreciation 6,000 0.5 5,000 0.5 0.5 8,000
________ _____ _______ ______ _______ _______
Total Operating Expenses 200,000 16.7% $173,000 16.0% $218,000
Profit Before
Interest and Taxes $40,000 3.3% $27,000 2.6% $62,000
Interest 15,000 1.3 12,000 1.1 17,000
________ _______ _______ ______ _______ _______
Profit Before Income Taxes 25,000 2.1% $15,000 1.4% 2.5% 45,000
Income Taxes 6,000 0.5 4,000 0.4 15,000
________ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______
Net Profit $19,000 1.6% $11,000 1.1% $30,000
Reevaluating the Plan
Once an initial plan has been established, it is often useful to review it in order to
identify areas of further improvement.
In the example of Western Appliances, the expected profit before income taxes, 3.2% of
sales ($46,000 : $1,400,000), is well above the industry average of 2.5% and no extensive
reevaluation appears needed.
Summary
Too often, the owners of small businesses rely upon their eyes
and ears to tell them whether or not the performance of their business is up to par.
Unfortunately, our eyes and ears often betray us. The sales representative with the glib
tongue and quick wit may appear to be your star performer while the facts, actual sales
and profit, may show that someone else is doing a far better job. The secretary who
constantly appears busy may be far less efficient than another who works in a more
organized fashion with fewer errors and less need for duplicate effort.
There are also many aspects of a business that our eyes and ears cannot always sense.
Changes in the market, shifts in customers' economic fortunes, and gradual but seemingly
irreversible increases in costs can develop into crises unless they are detected at an
early stage and effective action is taken promptly.
Performance Evaluation
The establishment of a profit plan permits you to evaluate performance in your business
based upon facts, not upon random observations. Certainly, there is no substitute for the
"gut feel" of the small business owner in making these important decisions that
affect the prosperity of the business. However, the effectiveness of the owner's gut feel,
when combined with facts, can dramatically increase the accuracy of management decisions.
Profit Plan
With a well-considered profit plan, out-of-line conditions can be detected at the
earliest possible date. Corrective action can be taken promptly, eliminating the erosive
effect of continuing losses as well as the need to react in a time of crisis. The profit
plan also permits the owner to agree upon specific responsibilities with all employees who
are in a position to influence sales or costs. Their performance can be evaluated and any
deficiencies brought to their at?tention so that they can participate in the development
of corrective action plans. As a further plus, the disciplined thinking about the future
will permit you to foresee many problems before they occur and assist you in anticipating
opportunities in your market that will permit you to build your business for greater sales
and profit.
To Profit Planning: How To Increase Your Business
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